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Data Centers and Large-Scale Electric Growth: The Virginia and Texas Experiences | The Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

belfer-center-research economics-business-work Apr 20, 2026 source →
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economics-business-work
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Data Centers and Large-Scale Electric Growth: The Virginia a

Claims from this story

Every atomic assertion extracted from the underlying record, ranked by evidence strength.

The GS-5 tariff represents a shift toward strict "cost causation" frameworks.

direct_quotestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

Texas SB6 introduces wide-ranging reform for data centers.

direct_quotestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

Virginia's "GS-5" tariff requires large loads to pay 85% of transmission capacity costs during ramp-up.

direct_quotestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

PJM's congestion costs rose by 64% in 2024.

direct_quotemeasuredeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

Individual AI data centers can exceed a gigawatt (GW) of power demand.

direct_quotestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

Data center electricity demand may account for 6.7-12% of U.S. electricity usage by 2028.

direct_quotestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

Data center electricity usage grew from just under 2% of national demand in 2018 to about 4.4% in 2023.

direct_quotemeasuredeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

Texas plans over $30 billion in transmission upgrades.

direct_quotestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

Traditional "socialized" cost-recovery models for grid investments are breaking down due to the scale of required investments.

paraphraseimpliedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

Legislative stalemate and stakeholder debate have precluded meaningful changes in Virginia regarding data centers.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

Coordinating governance across planning, regulatory, and operational institutions is a widespread challenge in digital infrastructure development.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

Tech companies prioritize rapid interconnection and power deployment.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

The digital economy's electricity needs are creating new policy challenges across the United States.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

Adjustments to the electricity grid redistribute risks and benefits among data center developers, utilities, and public ratepayers.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

The pledge by technology companies highlights the political risks of ignoring data centers' impacts on grid reliability.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

In February 2026, President Donald Trump announced that leading technology companies (including Meta, Google, and OpenAI) pledged to assume a larger share of data centers' energy and grid infrastructure costs.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

Differences in states' ability to pass reforms will impact the severity of grid- and local-level impacts, including residential energy costs.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

Similar cost causation mechanisms will likely spread to other electricity markets.

paraphraseimpliedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

Data centers rely on continuous electricity, supported by uninterruptible power and on-site systems.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

The U.S. electricity system must be recalibrated to ensure greater resilience and adaptability.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

Policymakers are struggling to simultaneously guarantee low electricity costs, high reliability, and rapid interconnection for customers.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

Affordability concerns regarding electricity are growing.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

Large concentrations of data centers on the grid raise the risk of blackouts.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

The pledge by technology companies highlights expanding awareness of data centers' impacts on grid reliability.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

"Phantom" requests are multiple or duplicative project requests for a single potential facility across several utility territories.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

Conflicting interests between technology companies, regional utilities, and state regulators complicate reform.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

"Phantom" practices complicate long-term transmission planning.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

Utilities and regulators prioritize grid reliability and ratepayer protections.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

Some developers are trying to reduce or eliminate grid reliance by constructing behind-the-meter (BTM) generation.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

Policymakers must develop new ways to support the digital economy without unraveling public protections on electricity costs and environmental damages.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

As reserve margins shrink, the grid becomes increasingly vulnerable to shortages and instability.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

Data centers are entering the electricity system faster and at a larger scale than planning, regulatory, and market-based institutions can manage.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

Differences in states' ability to pass reforms will impact future data center market development.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

New generation sources can spend 4 to 5 years in interconnection queues before coming online.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

Data centers are depleting available grid capacity faster than it can be physically replaced.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

High-voltage transmission upgrades often require 7 to 10 years to plan, approve, and construct.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

The U.S. electricity system experienced gradual, diversified, and relatively predictable demand growth for decades.

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Shrinking reserve margins cannot be replenished fast enough to meet demand.

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Hyperscale data centers can be built within 18 to 24 months.

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Data centers operate at exceptionally high utilization factors.

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The degree of operational flexibility for data centers varies.

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Inflexible data centers leave grid operators with less maneuvering room to manage demand fluctuations, renewable intermittency, and grid emergencies.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

Data centers pose distinct challenges for grid planners due to their interaction with electricity planning, market institutions, and physical/operational characteristics.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

The aggregate behavior of data center on-site systems during grid-level disturbances can introduce harmonic distortion.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

The aggregate behavior of data center on-site systems during grid-level disturbances can exacerbate voltage stress.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

Large concentrations of data centers on the grid increase grid instability.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

Fundamental differences in Virginia's and Texas' electricity market design have shaped their approaches to data center regulation.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

Large concentrations of data centers on the grid undermine its ability to ride through routine electrical faults.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

Historically, grid interconnection and service requests operated on a "first-come, first-served" basis with low barriers to entry.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

The scarcity of viable building sites and high interconnection demand has led developers to file "phantom" requests.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

The majority of data center energy legislation continues to occur at the state level.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

"Phantom" requests allow developers to explore multiple site options simultaneously.

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In some regions, the volume of new load in the interconnection queue exceeds the entire demand within a utility's jurisdiction.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

"Phantom" practices skew demand forecasts.

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Data center investments are clustered in regional hubs that promise reliable electricity access, robust fiber connectivity, and low latency.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

The large volume of requests stretches grid planners' administrative capabilities.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

The large volume of requests leads to longer project delays affecting both data center operators and power generators.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

Some developers are trying to reduce or eliminate grid reliance by building data centers at or near power plants.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

Energy-oriented data center legislation primarily occurs at the state level.

paraphrasestatedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026

Regulators face pressure to protect residential ratepayers from cross-subsidizing tech giants.

paraphraseimpliedeconomics-business-workApr 20, 2026